2016 has been put together all wrong. The United Kingdom left the European Union. Donald Trump is running for president. Athletes – and athlete enthusiasts – are throwing themselves into what might technically constitute a disaster zone at Rio. I cannot locate a single pair of socks, and not for lack of trying. Something is definitely afoot.
So what should we expect from all this upheaval?
Brexit (British Exit) sounds like a place in England – probably with cobblestones – but is actually just a vote that the British right-wing demanded and received. One of the main proponents of Brexit was Nigel Farage, a tax avoiding, handgun-loving, career politician who nearly lost his first electoral fight to Screaming Lord Sutch of the Monster Raving Loony Party.
Disclaimer: this is an oversimplification.
Farage has just recently stepped aside from the leadership of UKIP (United Kingdom Independence Party) stating that he ‘wants his life back’ after reneging on several claims he made to garner the support of the British populace for a vote to leave the European Union. Boris Johnson has similarly abandoned ship.
It is more than likely that they simply do not want to clean up the mess they made.
And what is this mess? Well. Brexit entails rewriting a mountain of legislation, reissuing passports, dealing with renewed calls for Scottish independence, upheaval in Ireland and a variety of issues at the French border, including the possible destruction of a deal that allows the United Kingdom to conduct immigration checks in Calais.
The incredibly respected Boston Consulting Group estimates that 80,000 banking jobs will be moved to Europe if Britain loses its ability to do business with the Union after Brexit. In the prelude to Brexit, ten Nobel prize-winning economists warned against voting ‘Leave’.
In 2032, the British GDP might be 2.2% lower than it is today if things fall through. Conversely, the GDP would only rise 1.6% in a best case scenario, making this a pretty clear cut risk/reward situation. With the largest bloc of ‘Remain’ voters residing in London, there have now been calls for the city to secede from the United Kingdom and become a city-state similar to Singapore. This hypothetical state would be the fifteenth largest EU state, with nearly 200,000 people signing a petition to make it happen.
Trump will probably not be President of the United States of America. If Donald does somehow attain the highest office in the Western world, he will probably not build the wall. Most analysts believe that the “Great Orange Hope” would probably pull back from the rhetoric that has gained him such an expansive voter base to be a relatively mainstream president – IF he actually wants to be.
The only thing Trump likes about the idea of running for prez is the attention he gets from spreading virulent new strains of sexism,